Myiq2xu is one of the more odious PUMAs out there. He is as clueless and stupid as any PUMA, but where he really excells is undeserved smugness and hypocrisy. On Friday he wrote a post, between 30 of his youtube posts, where he “debunked” Obama’s recent poll strength. He tries to mock the MyDD crowd for acknowledging the fact.
While Todd is having an obagasm over an alleged 8 point jump in Teh Precious’ approval rating, he glosses over the part that shows Obama has dropped two points in just one month. At that rate Obama will be under 50% by Christmas. He also ignores the fact that the poll shows that Obama’s “support” is extremely volatile.
This is probably the biggest piece of PUMA stupid involving statistics since the election. Let’s begin!
First, the 8 point bump is alleged? Sorry clownboy, 8 points is a statistically significant swing. That you feel the need to add the qualifier alleged really displays how deeply in denial you are. Second, Todd doesn’t “gloss over” the fact that Obama’s rating is down 2 points from the January 25th. Rather, he didn’t say that at all because it would be a tremendously idiotic observation. To begin with, 2 points isn’t a very statistically significant movement, but rather well within expected variance of such a poll. Second, the 69% approval was from immediatley after his historic inauguration. Using that as a starting point is intentionally obtuse. It’s true that after the inauguration Obama’s poll number went down 5-10 points. Of course, if myiq2xu were a bit more skilled with teh google, he may have realized that this drop was due to a 14 point drop in support amongst conservative Republicans, while he actually gained ground amongst Democrats and Independents. Of course, that would conflict with the PUMA truth that Obama has been governing as a conservative Republican. Myiq2xu just kind of glosses over that bit. Oops.
Next, the assertian that “at that rate Obama will be under 50% by Christmas.” This is my single favorite bit of PUMA math ever. As long as he’s picking trendlines based on 2 data points, why didn’t myiq2xu pick Jan 25th and Feb 23? Obama had dropped 10 points in a month at that point, and if you ignore the internals and extrapolate linearly (which is apparently the extent of myiq2xu’s mathematical prowess), Obama will have a 0% approval rating by August. 0%!
Wow! PUMAs were right all along! In 8 months literally nobody in America will approve of Obama. And “at that rate” Obama will never get reelected, because he will have a -380% approval rating by November 2012! Even Sarah Palin could get elected against an opponent with a -380% approval rating (maybe)!
Myiq2xu’s swipe at Todd for “ignore[ing] the fact that the poll shows that Obama’s “support” is extremely volatile” is also laughable. Not only is myiq2xu not in any position to critique anybody elses poll analysis, but he’s pretty much wrong here as well. A 10 point drop and rebound in 1 month would be unusual, if not for reality. Obama’s spike in support amongst people who won’t actually aupport his policies around inauguration was as predictable as sunrise, as was losing some of that support once the actual politics started. There’s nothing about the volatility of public opinion here that prevents of from drawing conclusions, such as Obama got a really nice bounce from his speech, and clearly convinced some people.
Personally, I don’t pay much attention to polls at any time, but right now they are meaningless. Obama’s approval rating won’t matter until the November 2010 mid-term election, and even then they aren’t an indicator of what will happen in 2012. At the two-year mark George H. W. Bush had a 90% approval rating but he lost when he ran for reelection. Bill Clinton’s approval rating was low in 1994 but he was reelected in 1996.
Here he goes again, drawing trends from 2 cherrypicked data points. If he doesn’t understand how Presidents use their approval numbers and bully pulpit to push their legislative agenda, well, then I guess he’d be a clueless fucking PUMA.
I do agree wih myiq2xu about one thing though. Anything this stupid should hurt.
Oh, PS, whats with that stupid picture? “Animatronic is what they do with teleprompter jesus in between speeches?” Maybe if you’re trying to be snarky and criticize somebody as being so uncomfortable with language that they’re lost without a teleprompter you should, oh, I don’t know, use proper fucking grammer. Animatronic is an adjective fucknuts.
UPDATE: Please note that the comments contained a couple of references to a PUMAtard by her real-life name. Although this person may have done a crappy job of hiding her identity, I don’t think she’s “out” online, so I edited the comments to remove the name. If she is out, my apologies for the heavy-handedness. Let’s just be careful about revealing people’s identities — even if they are fuckheads. Several PUMAs use their real names online (Darragh Murphy, for example), and it’s okay to refer to them as such. But let’s make sure before we use real names, okay? Thanks! [bettycrackerfl]